Added posterior impulse response functions.

git-svn-id: https://www.dynare.org/svn/dynare/dynare_v4@477 ac1d8469-bf42-47a9-8791-bf33cf982152
time-shift
adjemian 2005-10-02 15:16:18 +00:00
parent 8145b7e3f5
commit a6ec6bd2ec
2 changed files with 108 additions and 184 deletions

View File

@ -2,7 +2,6 @@ function PosteriorIRF()
% stephane.adjemian@ens.fr [09-25-2005]
global options_ estim_params_ oo_ M_
nvx = estim_params_.nvx;
nvn = estim_params_.nvn;
ncx = estim_params_.ncx;
@ -10,7 +9,12 @@ ncn = estim_params_.ncn;
np = estim_params_.np ;
npar = nvx+nvn+ncx+ncn+np;
offset = npar-np;
%%
MaxNumberOfPlotPerFigure = 4;% The square root must be an integer!
nn = sqrt(MaxNumberOfPlotPerFigure);
%%
CheckPath('Plots\IRFs');
CheckPath('metropolis\IRFs');
DirectoryName = CheckPath('metropolis');
load([ DirectoryName '\' M_.fname '_mh_history'])
FirstMhFile = record.KeepedDraws.FirstMhFile;
@ -20,26 +24,28 @@ TotalNumberOfMhDraws = sum(record.MhDraws(:,1));
NumberOfDraws = TotalNumberOfMhDraws-floor(options_.mh_drop*TotalNumberOfMhDraws);
clear record;
MAX_nruns = ceil(options_.MaxNumberOfBytes/(npar+2)/8);
MAX_nirfs = ceil(options_.MaxNumberOfBytes/(options_.irf*length(oo_.steady_state)*M_.exo_nbr)/8);
MAX_nirfs = ceil(options_.MaxNumberOfBytes/(options_.irf*length(oo_.steady_state)*M_.exo_nbr)/8)+50;
%%
B = round(0.25*NumberOfDraws);
if B <= MAX_nirfs
stock_irf = zeros(options_.irf,size(M_.endo_names,1),M_.exo_nbr,B);
elseif nvn & B > MAX_nirfs
stock_irf = zeros(options_.irf,size(M_.endo_names,1),M_.exo_nbr,MAX_nirfs);
end
%%
irun = 0;
ifil = 1;
h = waitbar(0,'Bayesian IRFs...');
if B >= MAX_nirfs
stock_irf = zeros(options_.irf,M_.endo_nbr,M_.exo_nbr,MAX_nirfs);
else
stock_irf = zeros(options_.irf,M_.endo_nbr,M_.exo_nbr,B);
end
for b=1:B
irun = irun+1;
deep = GetOneDraw(NumberOfDraws,FirstMhFile,LastMhFile,FirstLine,MAX_nruns,DirectoryName);
M_.params(estim_params_.param_vals(:,1)) = deep(offset+1:end);
dr = resol(oo_.steady_state,0)
dr = resol(oo_.steady_state,0);
if nvx
ip = 1;
for i=1:nvx
@ -66,9 +72,9 @@ for b=1:B
if options_.relative_irf
y = 100*y/cs(i,i);
end
for j = 1:size(M_.endo_names,1)
for j = 1:M_.endo_nbr%size(M_.endo_names,1)
if max(y(j,:)) - min(y(j,:)) > 1e-10
stock_irf(:,j,i,b) = transpose(y(j,:));
stock_irf(:,j,i,irun) = transpose(y(j,:));
end
end
end
@ -85,13 +91,31 @@ for b=1:B
end
ifil = ifil-1;
close(h)
varlist = options_.varlist;
if isempty(varlist)
varlist = M_.endo_names;
SelecVariables = transpose(1:M_.endo_nbr);
nvar = M_.endo_nbr;
else
nvar = size(varlist,1);
SelecVariables = [];
for i=1:nvar
if ~isempty(strmatch(varlist(i,:),M_.endo_names,'exact'))
SelecVariables = [SelecVariables;strmatch(varlist(i,:),M_.endo_names,'exact')];
end
end
end
MeanIRF = zeros(options_.irf,nvar,M_.exo_nbr);
MedianIRF = zeros(options_.irf,nvar,M_.exo_nbr);
StdIRF = zeros(options_.irf,nvar,M_.exo_nbr);
DistribIRF = zeros(options_.irf,9,nvar,M_.exo_nbr);
HPDIRF = zeros(options_.irf,2,nvar,M_.exo_nbr);
if options_.TeX
varlist_TeX = [];
for i=1:nvar
varlist_TeX = strvcat(varlist_TeX,M_.endo_names_tex(SelecVariables(i),:));
end
end
fprintf('MH: Posterior IRFs...\n');
tit(M_.exo_names_orig_ord,:) = M_.exo_names;
for i = 1:M_.exo_nbr
@ -106,8 +130,8 @@ for i = 1:M_.exo_nbr
StartLine = StartLine+DeProfundis;
end
[MeanIRF(k,j,i),MedianIRF(k,j,i),VarIRF(k,j,i),HPDIRF(k,:,j,i),DistribIRF(k,:,j,i)] = posterior_moments(tmp,0);
disp([' Variable: ' deblank(M_.endo_names(SelecVariables(j),:)) ', orthogonalized shock to ' deblank(tit(i,:))])
end
disp([' Variable: ' deblank(M_.endo_names(SelecVariables(j),:)) ', orthogonalized shock to ' deblank(tit(i,:))])
end
end
clear stock_irf;
@ -122,179 +146,79 @@ for i = 1:M_.exo_nbr
eval(['oo_.PosteriorIRF.HPDsup.' name ' = HPDIRF(:,2,j,i);']);
end
end
return
%%
%% Finally i build the plots.
%%
if TeX
fidTeX = fopen([M_.fname '_BayesianIRF.TeX'],'w');
if options_.TeX
fidTeX = fopen([M_.dname '\Plots\IRFs\' M_.fname '_BayesianIRF.TeX'],'w');
fprintf(fidTeX,'%% TeX eps-loader file generated by PosteriorIRF.m (Dynare).\n');
fprintf(fidTeX,['%% ' datestr(now,0) '\n']);
fprintf(fidTeX,' \n');
titTeX(M_.exo_names_orig_ord,:) = M_.exo_names_tex;
end
if TeX; titTeX(M_.exo_name_orig_ord,:) = M_.exo_names_tex; end;
% $$$ for i=1:M_.exo_nbr
% $$$ number_of_plots_to_draw = 0;
% $$$ index = [];
% $$$ for j=1:nvar
% $$$ if MeanIRF(1,j,i)
% $$$ number_of_plots_to_draw = number_of_plots_to_draw + 1;
% $$$ index = cat(1,index,j);
% $$$ end
% $$$ end
% $$$ [nbplt,nr,nc,lr,lc,nstar] = pltorg(number_of_plots_to_draw);
% $$$ if nbplt == 1
% $$$ if options_.relative_irf
% $$$ hh = figure('Name',['Relative response to orthogonalized' ...
% $$$ ' shock to ' tit(i,:)]);
% $$$ else
% $$$ hh = figure('Name',['Orthogonalized shock to ' tit(i, ...
% $$$ :)]);
% $$$ end
% $$$ NAMES = [];
% $$$ if TeX; TEXNAMES = []; end;
% $$$ for j=1:number_of_plots_to_draw
% $$$ set(0,'CurrentFigure',hh)
% $$$ subplot(nr,nc,j);
% $$$ plot([1 options_.irf],[0 0],'-r','linewidth',0.5);
% $$$ hold on
% $$$ for k = 1:9
% $$$ plot(1:options_.irf,DistribIRF(:,index(j),i,k),'-g','linewidth',0.5)
% $$$ end
% $$$ plot(1:options_.irf,MeanIRF(:,index(j),i),'-k','linewidth',1)
% $$$ xlim([1 options_.irf]);
% $$$ hold off
% $$$ name = deblank(M_.endo_names(SelecVariables(index(j)),:));
% $$$ NAMES = strvcat(NAMES,name);
% $$$ if TeX
% $$$ texname = deblank(M_.endo_names_tex(SelecVariables(index(j)),:));
% $$$ TEXNAMES = strvcat(TEXNAMES,['$' texname '$']);
% $$$ end
% $$$ title(name,'Interpreter','none')
% $$$ end
% $$$ eval(['print -depsc2 ' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:))]);
% $$$ eval(['print -dpdf ' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:))]);
% $$$ saveas(hh,[M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:)) '.fig']);
% $$$ if options_.nograph, close(hh), end
% $$$ if TeX
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\begin{figure}[H]\n');
% $$$ for jj = 1:number_of_plots_to_draw
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,['\\psfrag{%s}[1][][0.5][0]{%s}\n'],deblank(NAMES(jj,:)),deblank(TEXNAMES(jj,:)));
% $$$ end
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\centering \n');
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\includegraphics[scale=0.5]{%s_Bayesian_IRF_%s}\n',M_.fname,deblank(tit(i,:)));
% $$$ if options_.relative_irf
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,['\\caption{Bayesian relative' ...
% $$$ ' IRF.}']);
% $$$ else
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\caption{Bayesian IRF.}');
% $$$ end
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\label{Fig:BayesianIRF:%s}\n',deblank(tit(i,:)));
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\end{figure}\n');
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,' \n');
% $$$ end
% $$$ elseif nbplt > 1
% $$$ for fig = 1:nbplt-1
% $$$ if options_.relative_irf
% $$$ hh = figure('Name',['Relative response to orthogonalized' ...
% $$$ ' shock to ' tit(i,:) ' figure ' int2str(fig) '.']);
% $$$ else
% $$$ hh = figure('Name',['Orthogonalized shock to ' tit(i,:) ...
% $$$ ' figure ' int2str(fig) '.']);
% $$$ end
% $$$ NAMES = [];
% $$$ if TeX; TEXNAMES = []; end;
% $$$ for j=1:nstar
% $$$ jj = (fig-1)*nstar + j;
% $$$ subplot(nr,nc,j);
% $$$ plot([1 options_.irf],[0 0],'-r','linewidth',0.5);
% $$$ hold on
% $$$ for k = 1:9
% $$$ plot(1:options_.irf,DistribIRF(:,index(jj),i,k),'-g','linewidth',0.5)
% $$$ end
% $$$ plot(1:options_.irf,MeanIRF(:,index(jj),i),'-k','linewidth',1)
% $$$ xlim([1 options_.irf]);
% $$$ hold off
% $$$ name = deblank(M_.endo_names(SelecVariables(index(jj)),:));
% $$$ NAMES = strvcat(NAMES,name);
% $$$ if TeX
% $$$ texname = deblank(M_.endo_names_tex(SelecVariables(index(jj)),:));
% $$$ TEXNAMES = strvcat(TEXNAMES,['$' texname '$']);
% $$$ end
% $$$ title(name,'Interpreter','none')
% $$$ end
% $$$ eval(['print -depsc2 ' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:)) int2str(fig)]);
% $$$ eval(['print -dpdf ' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:)) int2str(fig)]);
% $$$ saveas(hh,[M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:)) int2str(fig) '.fig']);
% $$$ if options_.nograph, close(hh), end
% $$$ if TeX
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\begin{figure}[H]\n');
% $$$ for jj = 1:nstar
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,['\\psfrag{%s}[1][][0.5][0]{%s}\n'],deblank(NAMES(jj,:)),deblank(TEXNAMES(jj,:)));
% $$$ end
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\centering \n');
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\includegraphics[scale=0.5]{%s_Bayesian_IRF_%s%s}\n',M_.fname,deblank(tit(i,:)),int2str(fig));
% $$$ if options_.relative_irf == 1
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,['\\caption{Bayesian relative' ...
% $$$ ' IRF.}']);
% $$$ else
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\caption{Bayesian IRF.}');
% $$$ end
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\label{Fig:BayesianIRF:%s:%s}\n',deblank(tit(i,:)), int2str(fig));
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\end{figure}\n');
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,' \n');
% $$$ end
% $$$ end
% $$$ hh = figure('Name',['Orthogonalized shock to ' tit(i,:) ' figure ' int2str(nbplt) '.']);
% $$$ NAMES = [];
% $$$ if TeX; TEXNAMES = []; end;
% $$$ for j=1:number_of_plots_to_draw -(nbplt-1)*nstar
% $$$ jj = (nbplt-1)*nstar + j;
% $$$ subplot(nr,nc,j);
% $$$ plot([1 options_.irf],[0 0],'-r','linewidth',0.5);
% $$$ hold on
% $$$ for k = 1:9
% $$$ plot(1:options_.irf,DistribIRF(:,index(jj),i,k),'-g','linewidth',0.5)
% $$$ end
% $$$ plot(1:options_.irf,MeanIRF(:,index(jj),i),'-k','linewidth',1)
% $$$ xlim([1 options_.irf]);
% $$$ hold off
% $$$ name = deblank(M_.endo_names(SelecVariables(index(jj)),:));
% $$$ NAMES = strvcat(NAMES,name);
% $$$ if TeX
% $$$ texname = deblank(M_.endo_names_tex(SelecVariables(index(jj)),:));
% $$$ TEXNAMES = strvcat(TEXNAMES,['$' texname '$']);
% $$$ end
% $$$ title(name,'Interpreter','none')
% $$$ end
% $$$ eval(['print -depsc2 ' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:)) int2str(nbplt)]);
% $$$ eval(['print -dpdf ' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:)) int2str(nbplt)]);
% $$$ saveas(hh,[M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:)) int2str(nbplt) '.fig']);
% $$$ if options_.nograph, close(hh), end
% $$$ if TeX
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\begin{figure}[H]\n');
% $$$ for jj = 1:nstar
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,['\\psfrag{%s}[1][][0.5][0]{%s}\n'],deblank(NAMES(jj,:)),deblank(TEXNAMES(jj,:)));
% $$$ end
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\centering \n');
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\includegraphics[scale=0.5]{%s_Bayesian_IRF_%s%s}\n',M_.fname,deblank(tit(i,:)),int2str(nbplt));
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\caption{Bayesian IRF.}');
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\label{Fig:BayesianIRF:%s:%s}\n',deblank(tit(i,:)), int2str(nbplt));
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'\\end{figure}\n');
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,' \n');
% $$$ end
% $$$ else % nbplt = 0
% $$$ disp('There''s nothing to plot here!')
% $$$ end
% $$$ end
% $$$ if TeX
% $$$ fprintf(fidTeX,'%% End of TeX file.\n');
% $$$ fclose(fidTeX);
% $$$ end
% $$$ fprintf('MH: Posterior IRFs, done!\n');
%%
figunumber = 0;
subplotnum = 0;
for i=1:M_.exo_nbr
NAMES = [];
if options_.TeX
TEXNAMES = [];
end
for j=1:nvar
if max(abs(MeanIRF(:,j,i))) > 10^(-6)
subplotnum = subplotnum+1;
if subplotnum == 1 & options_.relative_irf
hh = figure('Name',['Relative response to orthogonalized shock to ' tit(i,:)]);
elseif subplotnum == 1 & ~options_.relative_irf
hh = figure('Name',['Orthogonalized shock to ' tit(i,:)]);
end
set(0,'CurrentFigure',hh)
subplot(nn,nn,subplotnum);
plot([1 options_.irf],[0 0],'-r','linewidth',0.5);
hold on
for k = 1:9
plot(1:options_.irf,DistribIRF(:,k,j,i),'-g','linewidth',0.5)
end
plot(1:options_.irf,MeanIRF(:,j,i),'-k','linewidth',1)
xlim([1 options_.irf]);
hold off
name = deblank(varlist(j,:));
NAMES = strvcat(NAMES,name);
if options_.TeX
texname = deblank(varlist_TeX(j,:));
TEXNAMES = strvcat(TEXNAMES,['$' texname '$']);
end
title(name,'Interpreter','none')
end
if subplotnum == MaxNumberOfPlotPerFigure | j == nvar
eval(['print -depsc2 ' M_.dname '\Plots\IRFs\' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:))]);
eval(['print -dpdf ' M_.dname '\Plots\IRFs\' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:))]);
saveas(hh,[M_.dname '\Plots\IRFs\' M_.fname '_Bayesian_IRF_' deblank(tit(i,:)) '.fig']);
if options_.nograph, close(hh), end
if options_.TeX
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\begin{figure}[H]\n');
for jj = 1:size(TEXNAMES,1)
fprintf(fidTeX,['\\psfrag{%s}[1][][0.5][0]{%s}\n'],deblank(NAMES(jj,:)),deblank(TEXNAMES(jj,:)));
end
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\centering \n');
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\includegraphics[scale=0.5]{%s_Bayesian_IRF_%s}\n',M_.fname,deblank(tit(i,:)));
if options_.relative_irf
fprintf(fidTeX,['\\caption{Bayesian relative IRF.}']);
else
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\caption{Bayesian IRF.}');
end
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\label{Fig:BayesianIRF:%s}\n',deblank(tit(i,:)));
fprintf(fidTeX,'\\end{figure}\n');
fprintf(fidTeX,' \n');
end
subplotnum = 0;
figunumber = figunumber+1;
end
end% loop over selected endo_var
end% loop over exo_var
%%
if options_.TeX
fprintf(fidTeX,'%% End of TeX file.\n');
fclose(fidTeX);
end
fprintf('MH: Posterior IRFs, done!\n');

View File

@ -471,7 +471,7 @@ if any(bayestopt_.pshape > 0) & options_.TeX %% Bayesian estimation (posterior m
ip = nvx+nvn+ncx+ncn+1;
for i=1:np
fprintf(fidTeX,'$%s$ & %s & %7.3f & %6.4f & %8.4f & %7.4f \\\\ \n',...
deblank(estim_params_.tex(i,:)),...
M_.param_names_tex(estim_params_.param_vals(i,1),:),...%deblank(estim_params_.tex(i,:)),...
deblank(pnames(bayestopt_.pshape(ip)+1,:)),...
bayestopt_.pmean(ip),...
estim_params_.param_vals(i,6),...