Added two examples.

time-shift
Stéphane Adjemian(Charybdis) 2018-07-11 10:12:55 +02:00
parent 02a41ecbbe
commit 908d5bc386
4 changed files with 166 additions and 0 deletions

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examples/10/clean Executable file
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#!/bin/sh
rm -rf example
rm -f example*.json
rm -f example*.mat
rm -f example.log
rm -f *.m

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examples/10/example.mod Normal file
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// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +--
var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y;
varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey;
parameters
rho_1 rho_2
a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2
a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2
e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ;
rho_1 = .9;
rho_2 = -.2;
a_x1_0 = -.9;
a_x1_1 = .4;
a_x1_2 = .3;
a_x1_x2_1 = .1;
a_x1_x2_2 = .2;
a_x2_0 = -.9;
a_x2_1 = .2;
a_x2_2 = -.1;
a_x2_x1_1 = -.1;
a_x2_x1_2 = .2;
beta = .2;
e_c_m = .5;
c_z_1 = .2;
c_z_2 = -.1;
var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']);
pac_model(var_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman, undiff('eq:x1', 1), undiff('eq:x2', 1));
model;
[name='eq:y']
y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey;
[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary']
diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1;
[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary']
diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2;
[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary']
x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar;
[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary']
x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar;
[name='zpac']
diff(z) = e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez;
end;
shocks;
var ex1 = 1.0;
var ex2 = 1.0;
var ex1bar = 1.0;
var ex2bar = 1.0;
var ez = 1.0;
var ey = 0.1;
end;
// Build the companion matrix of the VAR model (toto).
get_companion_matrix('toto', 'pacman');
// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors).
pac.update.expectation('pacman');
// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any...
initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names));
// Simulate the model for 500 periods
TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500);
//[pnames, enames, xnames, pid, eid, xid] = get_variables_and_parameters_in_equation('zpac', M_)
// Define a structure describing the parameters to be estimated (with initial conditions).
eparams.e_c_m = .9;
eparams.c_z_1 = .5;
eparams.c_z_2 = .2;
// Define the dataset used for estimation
edata = TrueData;
edata.ez = dseries(NaN(TrueData.nobs, 1), 200Q1, 'ez');
pac.estimate('zpac', eparams, edata, 2005Q1:2120Q1);
disp(sprintf('Estimate of e_c_m: %f', M_.params(strmatch('e_c_m', M_.param_names, 'exact'))))
disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_1: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_1', M_.param_names, 'exact'))))
disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_2: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_2', M_.param_names, 'exact'))))

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examples/11/clean Executable file
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#!/bin/sh
rm -rf example
rm -rf +example
rm -f example*.mat
rm -f example.log

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// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +--
var y x z;
varexo ex ey ez;
parameters a_y_1 a_y_2 b_y_1 b_y_2 b_x_1 b_x_2 ; // VAR parameters
parameters g beta e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2; // PAC equation parameters
a_y_1 = .2;
a_y_2 = .3;
b_y_1 = .1;
b_y_2 = .4;
b_x_1 = -.1;
b_x_2 = -.2;
beta = .9;
e_c_m = .1;
c_z_1 = .7;
c_z_2 = -.3;
g = .1;
var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:y']);
pac_model(var_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman, growth=g);
model;
[name='eq:y']
y = a_y_1*y(-1) + a_y_2*diff(x(-1)) + b_y_1*y(-2) + b_y_2*diff(x(-2)) + ey ;
[name='eq:x', data_type='nonstationary']
diff(x) = b_x_1*y(-2) + b_x_2*diff(x(-1)) + g*(1-b_x_2) + ex ;
[name='eq:pac']
diff(z) = e_c_m*(x(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez;
end;
shocks;
var ex = 1.0;
var ey = 1.0;
var ez = 1.0;
end;
get_companion_matrix('toto', 'pacman');
// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors).
pac.update.expectation('pacman');
// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any...
initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names));
// Simulate the model for 500 periods
TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500);