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If not, see . + +Also add information on how to contact you by electronic and paper mail. + + If the program does terminal interaction, make it output a short +notice like this when it starts in an interactive mode: + + pac-dynare Copyright (C) 2018 Stéphane Adjemian + This program comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY; for details type `show w'. + This is free software, and you are welcome to redistribute it + under certain conditions; type `show c' for details. + +The hypothetical commands `show w' and `show c' should show the appropriate +parts of the General Public License. Of course, your program's commands +might be different; for a GUI interface, you would use an "about box". + + You should also get your employer (if you work as a programmer) or school, +if any, to sign a "copyright disclaimer" for the program, if necessary. +For more information on this, and how to apply and follow the GNU GPL, see +. + + The GNU General Public License does not permit incorporating your program +into proprietary programs. If your program is a subroutine library, you +may consider it more useful to permit linking proprietary applications with +the library. If this is what you want to do, use the GNU Lesser General +Public License instead of this License. But first, please read +. diff --git a/tests/pac/README.md b/tests/pac/README.md new file mode 100644 index 000000000..a4a302bbd --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/README.md @@ -0,0 +1,29 @@ +Collection of `*.mod` files for testing the PAC routines in Dynare. To run all the tests sequentially and check that all the `*.mod` files pass the tests, just use the matlab function in the base directory: + +```matlab +>> run_all_tests() +``` + +If all goes well, the output should terminate with something like: + +```example +Testsuite results (PAC model): + +var-1 PASS (2.0479s) +var-2 PASS (1.9601s) +var-3 PASS (1.9826s) +var-4 PASS (2.0079s) +trend-component-1 PASS (2.2214s) +trend-component-2 PASS (2.2195s) +trend-component-3 PASS (2.3003s) +trend-component-4 PASS (10.5143s) +trend-component-5 PASS (2.1538s) +trend-component-6 PASS (2.4203s) +trend-component-7 PASS (2.7112s) +trend-component-9 PASS (2.2164s) +trend-component-10 PASS (2.2593s) +trend-component-11 PASS (0.69409s) +trend-component-12 PASS (2.2663s) +trend-component-13a PASS (0.4119s) +trend-component-13b PASS (0.39554s) +``` diff --git a/tests/pac/run_all_tests.m b/tests/pac/run_all_tests.m new file mode 100644 index 000000000..27cf54e49 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/run_all_tests.m @@ -0,0 +1,68 @@ +function run_all_tests() + +% Copyright (C) 2018 Dynare Team +% +% This file is part of Dynare. +% +% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify +% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by +% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or +% (at your option) any later version. +% +% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, +% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of +% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the +% GNU General Public License for more details. +% +% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License +% along with Dynare. If not, see . + +r = []; + +r = [r; run_this_test('var-1')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('var-2')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('var-3')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('var-4')]; + +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-1')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-2')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-3')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-4')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-5')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-6')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-7')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-9')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-10')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-11')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-12')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-13a')]; +r = [r; run_this_test('trend-component-13b')]; + +print_results(r); + +function o = run_this_test(folder) +try + cd(folder) + tstart = tic; + clear M_ oo_ options_ + dynare example + elapsed = toc(tstart); + o = {folder, true, elapsed}; + system('./clean') + cd .. +catch + o = {folder, false, NaN}; + system('./clean') + cd .. +end + +function print_results(r) +message = sprintf('Testsuite results (PAC model):\n'); +for i = 1:size(r, 1) + if r{i,2} + message = sprintf('%s\n%s\t\t PASS (%ss)', message, r{i,1}, num2str(r{i,3})); + else + message = sprintf('%s\n%s\t\t FAILED', message, r{i,1}); + end +end +disp(message) diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-1/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-1/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..be0d5e00c --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-1/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-1/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-1/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..dc4d84233 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-1/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,72 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z ; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ; + +parameters a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +gamma = .7; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = gamma*(e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman)) + (1-gamma)*ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-10/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-10/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..bdc7da19a --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-10/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.mat \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-10/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-10/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..bf99be3b2 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-10/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,95 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 beta; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(log(x1)) = a_x1_0*(log(x1(-1))-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(log(x1(-1))) + a_x1_2*diff(log(x1(-2))) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(log(x1(-1))) + a_x2_2*diff(log(x1(-2))) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(log(x1(-1))-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = .1; + var ex2bar = .1; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +INITIALCONDITIONS = zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr); +INITIALCONDITIONS(:,1) = ones(10, 1); +initialconditions = dseries(INITIALCONDITIONS, 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 300); + +// Define a structure describing the parameters to be estimated (with initial conditions). +clear eparams +eparams.e_c_m = .9; +eparams.c_z_1 = .5; +eparams.c_z_2 = .2; + +// Define the dataset used for estimation +edata = TrueData; +edata.ez = dseries(NaN(TrueData.nobs, 1), 2000Q1, 'ez'); +pac.estimate.iterative_ols('zpac', eparams, edata, 2005Q1:2000Q1+200); + +disp(sprintf('Estimate of e_c_m: %f', M_.params(strmatch('e_c_m', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_1: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_1', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_2: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_2', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-11/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-11/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..2935a38ad --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-11/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-11/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-11/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..09ebeb275 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-11/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,74 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, transform_unary_ops, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z ; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ; + +parameters a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ; + +a_x1_0 = -.9999; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = 0;//.3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = 0;//.2; + + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = 0;//-.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = 0;//.2; + +beta = .1; +e_c_m = .1; +c_z_1 = .07; +c_z_2 = -.3; + +gamma = .7; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(diff(log(x1))) = a_x1_0*(diff(log(x1(-1)))-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(diff(log(x1(-1)))) + a_x1_2*diff(diff(x1(-2))) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(log(x2(-1))) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(log(x2(-2))) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(log(x2)) = a_x2_0*(log(x2(-1))-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(diff(log(x1(-1)))) + a_x2_2*diff(diff(log(x1(-2)))) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(log(x2(-1))) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(log(x2(-2))) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = gamma*(e_c_m*(log(x1(-1))-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman)) + (1-gamma)*ez; + + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1; + var ex2 = 1; + var ex1bar = .1; + var ex2bar = .11; + var ez = 1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero for non logged variables, and one for logged variables +init = .1*ones(10,M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr); +initialconditions = dseries(init, 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 10); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-12/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-12/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..bdc7da19a --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-12/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.mat \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-12/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-12/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..ef916581a --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-12/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,105 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey g; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 beta ; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, growth=g, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; + var g = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +B = 1; +X = zeros(3,B); + +set_dynare_seed('default'); +options_.bnlms.set_dynare_seed_to_default = false; + +for i=1:B + e_c_m = .5; + c_z_1 = .2; + c_z_2 = -.1; + // Simulate the model for 500 periods + TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 300); + // Define a structure describing the parameters to be estimated (with initial conditions). + clear eparams + eparams.e_c_m = .5; + eparams.c_z_1 = .2; + eparams.c_z_2 =-.1; + // Define the dataset used for estimation + edata = TrueData; + edata.ez = dseries(NaN(TrueData.nobs, 1), 2000Q1, 'ez'); + pac.estimate.iterative_ols('zpac', eparams, edata, 2005Q1:2000Q1+200); + X(1,i) = M_.params(strmatch('e_c_m', M_.param_names, 'exact')); + X(2,i) = M_.params(strmatch('c_z_1', M_.param_names, 'exact')); + X(3,i) = M_.params(strmatch('c_z_2', M_.param_names, 'exact')); +end + +mean(X, 2) \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-13a/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-13a/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..bdc7da19a --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-13a/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.mat \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-13a/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-13a/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..f7355a201 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-13a/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,74 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey g; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 beta ; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, growth=g, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; + var g = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +if ~isequal(M_.pac.pacman.ec.isendo, [false, true]) + error('ec.isendo vector is wrong.') +end diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-13b/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-13b/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..bdc7da19a --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-13b/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.mat \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-13b/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-13b/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..a2f920dc2 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-13b/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,74 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey g; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 beta ; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, growth=g, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(z(-1)-x1(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; + var g = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +if ~isequal(M_.pac.pacman.ec.isendo, [true, false]) + error('ec.isendo vector is wrong.') +end diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-2/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-2/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..be0d5e00c --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-2/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-2/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-2/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..757f4b610 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-2/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,73 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z ; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ; + +parameters a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .1; +e_c_m = .1; +c_z_1 = .07; +c_z_2 = -.3; + +gamma = .7; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(diff(x1)) = a_x1_0*(diff(x1(-1))-diff(x1bar(-1))) + a_x1_1*diff(diff(x1(-1))) + a_x1_2*diff(diff(x1(-2))) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(diff(x1(-1))) + a_x2_2*diff(diff(x1(-2))) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1bar) = diff(x1bar(-1)) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = gamma*( e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman)) + (1-gamma)*ez; + + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-3/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-3/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..2935a38ad --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-3/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-3/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-3/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..f3a59a803 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-3/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,75 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, transform_unary_ops, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z ; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ; + +parameters a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .1; +e_c_m = .1; +c_z_1 = .07; +c_z_2 = -.3; + +gamma = .7; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(diff(x1)) = a_x1_0*(diff(x1(-1))-diff(x1bar(-1))) + a_x1_1*diff(diff(x1(-1))) + a_x1_2*diff(diff(x1(-2))) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(log(x2(-1))) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(log(x2(-2))) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(log(x2)) = a_x2_0*(log(x2(-1))-log(x2bar(-1))) + a_x2_1*diff(diff(x1(-1))) + a_x2_2*diff(diff(x1(-2))) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(log(x2(-1))) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(log(x2(-2))) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1bar) = diff(x1bar(-1)) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +log(x2bar) = log(x2bar(-1)) + ex2bar; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = gamma*(e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman)) + (1-gamma)*ez; + + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1; + var ex2 = 1; + var ex1bar = 1; + var ex2bar = 1; + var ez = 1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero for non logged variables, and one for logged variables +init = zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr); +init(:,[2,4]) = ones(10,2); +initialconditions = dseries(init, 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-4/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-4/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..2935a38ad --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-4/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-4/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-4/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..ec435abf0 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-4/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,73 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z ; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ; + +parameters a_x1_0 a_x1_0_ a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_0_ = -.8; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +gamma = .9; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1))+a_x1_0_*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = gamma*(e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman)) + (1-gamma)*ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 5000); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-5/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-5/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..2935a38ad --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-5/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-5/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-5/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..43eb56628 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-5/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,82 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +gamma = .7; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = gamma*(e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman)) + (1-gamma)*y + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); + diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-6/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-6/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..0d64aefde --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-6/clean @@ -0,0 +1,7 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.mat +rm *.m diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-6/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-6/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..3e35606bc --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-6/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,101 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +gamma = .7; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = gamma*(e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman)) + (1-gamma)*y + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); + +//[pnames, enames, xnames, pid, eid, xid] = get_variables_and_parameters_in_equation('zpac', M_) + +// Define a structure describing the parameters to be estimated (with initial conditions). +clear eparams +eparams.e_c_m = .9; +eparams.c_z_1 = .5; +eparams.c_z_2 = .2; +eparams.gamma = .1; + +// Define the dataset used for estimation +edata = TrueData; +edata.ez = dseries(NaN(TrueData.nobs, 1), 200Q1, 'ez'); + +pac.estimate.nls('zpac', eparams, edata, 2005Q1:2120Q1); + +disp(sprintf('Estimate of e_c_m: %f', M_.params(strmatch('e_c_m', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_1: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_1', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_2: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_2', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of gamma: %f', M_.params(strmatch('gamma', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-7/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-7/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..6f2442c33 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-7/clean @@ -0,0 +1,7 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.m \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-7/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-7/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..100c87e7f --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-7/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,97 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 gamma beta ; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); + +//[pnames, enames, xnames, pid, eid, xid] = get_variables_and_parameters_in_equation('zpac', M_) + +// Define a structure describing the parameters to be estimated (with initial conditions). +clear eparams +eparams.e_c_m = .9; +eparams.c_z_1 = .5; +eparams.c_z_2 = .2; + +// Define the dataset used for estimation +edata = TrueData; +edata.ez = dseries(NaN(TrueData.nobs, 1), 200Q1, 'ez'); + +pac.estimate.nls('zpac', eparams, edata, 2005Q1:2120Q1); + +disp(sprintf('Estimate of e_c_m: %f', M_.params(strmatch('e_c_m', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_1: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_1', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_2: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_2', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-iterative-ols/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-iterative-ols/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..bdc7da19a --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-iterative-ols/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.mat \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-iterative-ols/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-iterative-ols/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..26438fcb3 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-iterative-ols/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,106 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 beta g; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +g=.1; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, growth=g, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +B = 1; +X = zeros(3,B); + +set_dynare_seed('default'); +options_.bnlms.set_dynare_seed_to_default = false; + +for i=1:B + e_c_m = .5; + c_z_1 = .2; + c_z_2 = -.1; + // Simulate the model for 500 periods + TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 300); + // Define a structure describing the parameters to be estimated (with initial conditions). + clear eparams + eparams.e_c_m = -.5; + eparams.c_z_1 = .2; + eparams.c_z_2 =-.1; + // Define the dataset used for estimation + edata = TrueData; + edata.ez = dseries(NaN(TrueData.nobs, 1), 2000Q1, 'ez'); + pac.estimate.iterative_ols('zpac', eparams, edata, 2005Q1:2000Q1+200); + X(1,i) = M_.params(strmatch('e_c_m', M_.param_names, 'exact')); + X(2,i) = M_.params(strmatch('c_z_1', M_.param_names, 'exact')); + X(3,i) = M_.params(strmatch('c_z_2', M_.param_names, 'exact')); +end + +mean(X, 2) \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-nls/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-nls/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..0d64aefde --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-nls/clean @@ -0,0 +1,7 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.mat +rm *.m diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-nls/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-nls/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..bf6549072 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-8-mc-nls/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,102 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 beta g; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +g = .1; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, growth=g, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +B = 1; +X = zeros(3,B); + +set_dynare_seed('default'); +options_.bnlms.set_dynare_seed_to_default = false; + +for i=1:B + // Simulate the model for 500 periods + TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 300); + // Define a structure describing the parameters to be estimated (with initial conditions). + clear eparams + eparas.e_c_m = .5; + eparams.c_z_1 = .2; + eparams.c_z_2 =-.1; + // Define the dataset used for estimation + edata = TrueData; + edata.ez = dseries(NaN(TrueData.nobs, 1), 200Q1, 'ez'); + pac.estimate.nls('zpac', eparams, edata, 2005Q1:2000Q1+200); + X(1,i) = M_.params(strmatch('e_c_m', M_.param_names, 'exact')); + X(2,i) = M_.params(strmatch('c_z_1', M_.param_names, 'exact')); + X(3,i) = M_.params(strmatch('c_z_2', M_.param_names, 'exact')); +end + +mean(X, 2) \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-9/clean b/tests/pac/trend-component-9/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..bdc7da19a --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-9/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example.log +rm -f *.mat \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/trend-component-9/example.mod b/tests/pac/trend-component-9/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..455e86f6c --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/trend-component-9/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var x1 x2 x1bar x2bar z y; + +varexo ex1 ex2 ex1bar ex2bar ez ey; + +parameters + rho_1 rho_2 + a_x1_0 a_x1_1 a_x1_2 a_x1_x2_1 a_x1_x2_2 + a_x2_0 a_x2_1 a_x2_2 a_x2_x1_1 a_x2_x1_2 + e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2 beta; + +rho_1 = .9; +rho_2 = -.2; + +a_x1_0 = -.9; +a_x1_1 = .4; +a_x1_2 = .3; +a_x1_x2_1 = .1; +a_x1_x2_2 = .2; + +a_x2_0 = -.9; +a_x2_1 = .2; +a_x2_2 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_1 = -.1; +a_x2_x1_2 = .2; + +beta = .2; +e_c_m = .5; +c_z_1 = .2; +c_z_2 = -.1; + +trend_component_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x1', 'eq:x2', 'eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar'], trends=['eq:x1bar', 'eq:x2bar']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = rho_1*y(-1) + rho_2*y(-2) + ey; + +[name='eq:x1', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x1) = a_x1_0*(x1(-1)-x1bar(-1)) + a_x1_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x1_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x1_x2_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x1_x2_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex1; + +[name='eq:x2', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x2) = a_x2_0*(x2(-1)-x2bar(-1)) + a_x2_1*diff(x1(-1)) + a_x2_2*diff(x1(-2)) + a_x2_x1_1*diff(x2(-1)) + a_x2_x1_2*diff(x2(-2)) + ex2; + +[name='eq:x1bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x1bar = x1bar(-1) + ex1bar; + +[name='eq:x2bar', data_type='nonstationary'] +x2bar = x2bar(-1) + ex2bar; + +[name='zpac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x1(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex1 = 1.0; + var ex2 = 1.0; + var ex1bar = 1.0; + var ex2bar = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; + var ey = 0.1; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 300); + +// Define a structure describing the parameters to be estimated (with initial conditions). +clear eparams +eparams.e_c_m = .9; +eparams.c_z_1 = .5; +eparams.c_z_2 = .2; + +// Define the dataset used for estimation +edata = TrueData; +edata.ez = dseries(NaN(TrueData.nobs, 1), 2000Q1, 'ez'); +pac.estimate.iterative_ols('zpac', eparams, edata, 2005Q1:2000Q1+200); + +disp(sprintf('Estimate of e_c_m: %f', M_.params(strmatch('e_c_m', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_1: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_1', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) +disp(sprintf('Estimate of c_z_2: %f', M_.params(strmatch('c_z_2', M_.param_names, 'exact')))) diff --git a/tests/pac/var-0/clean b/tests/pac/var-0/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..e0d1cd114 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-0/clean @@ -0,0 +1,7 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf m1 m2 m3 m4 +rm -f m1_dynamic.m m1.log m1.m m1_results.mat m1_set_auxiliary_variables.m m1_static.m +rm -f m2_dynamic.m m2.log m2.m m2_results.mat m2_set_auxiliary_variables.m m2_static.m +rm -f m3_dynamic.m m3.log m3.m m3_results.mat m3_set_auxiliary_variables.m m3_static.m +rm -f m4_dynamic.m m4.log m4.m m4_results.mat m4_set_auxiliary_variables.m m4_static.m diff --git a/tests/pac/var-0/m1.mod b/tests/pac/var-0/m1.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..7ebe59034 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-0/m1.mod @@ -0,0 +1,30 @@ +var y x z; + +varexo ex ey ez; + +parameters a_y_1 a_y_2 b_y_1 b_y_2 b_x_1 b_x_2 c_z_1 d; + +a_y_1 = .2; +a_y_2 = .3; +b_y_1 = .1; +b_y_2 = .4; +b_x_1 = -.1; +b_x_2 = -.2; +c_z_1 = .9; +d = .1; + +var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:y']); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = a_y_1*y(-1) + a_y_2*x(-1) + b_y_1*y(-2) + b_y_2*x(-2) + ey ; + +z = c_z_1*z(-3) + d*y + ez; + +[name='eq:x'] +x = b_x_1*y(-2) + b_x_2*x(-2) + ez ; + +end; + +get_companion_matrix('toto'); diff --git a/tests/pac/var-0/m2.mod b/tests/pac/var-0/m2.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..475a52039 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-0/m2.mod @@ -0,0 +1,30 @@ +var y x z; + +varexo ex ey ez; + +parameters a_y_1 a_y_2 b_y_1 b_y_2 b_x_1 b_x_2 c_z_1 d; + +a_y_1 = .2; +a_y_2 = .3; +b_y_1 = .1; +b_y_2 = .4; +b_x_1 = -.1; +b_x_2 = -.2; +c_z_1 = .9; +d = .1; + +var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:y']); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = a_y_1*y(-1) + a_y_2*diff(x(-1)) + b_y_1*y(-2) + b_y_2*diff(x(-2)) + ey ; + +z = c_z_1*z(-3) + d*y + ez; + +[name='eq:x'] +diff(x) = b_x_1*y(-2) + b_x_2*diff(x(-1)) + ez ; + +end; + +get_companion_matrix('toto'); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-0/m3.mod b/tests/pac/var-0/m3.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..eaf79b782 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-0/m3.mod @@ -0,0 +1,32 @@ +var y x z; + +varexo ex ey ez; + +parameters a_y_1 a_y_2 b_y_1 b_y_2 b_x_1 b_x_2 c_z_1 c_z_2 c_z_3; + +a_y_1 = .2; +a_y_2 = .3; +b_y_1 = .1; +b_y_2 = .4; +b_x_1 = -.1; +b_x_2 = -.2; +c_z_1 = .9; +c_z_2 = .1; +c_z_3 = -.8; + +var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:y', 'eq:z']); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = a_y_1*y(-1) + a_y_2*diff(x(-1)) + b_y_1*y(-2) + b_y_2*diff(x(-2)) + ey ; + +[name='eq:x'] +diff(x) = b_x_1*y(-2) + b_x_2*diff(x(-1)) + ex ; + +[name='eq:z'] +diff(z) = c_z_1*(x(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_3*diff(z(-2)) + ez ; + +end; + +get_ar_matrices('toto'); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-0/m4.mod b/tests/pac/var-0/m4.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..f92fc75ed --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-0/m4.mod @@ -0,0 +1,29 @@ +var y x z; + +varexo ex ey ez; + +parameters a_x_0 a_x_1 a_x_2 b_z_0 b_z_1 b_z_2; + +a_x_0 = .2; +a_x_1 = .9; +a_x_2 = -.2; +b_z_0 = .3; +b_z_1 = .7; +b_z_2 = -.4; + +var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:z', 'eq:y']); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = y(-1) + ey ; + +[name='eq:x'] +diff(x) = -a_x_0*(x(-1)-y(-1)) + a_x_1*diff(x(-1)) + a_x_2*diff(x(-2)) + ex ; + +[name='eq:z'] +diff(z) = -b_z_0*(z(-1)-x(-1)) + b_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + b_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + ez ; + +end; + +get_ar_matrices('toto'); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-1/clean b/tests/pac/var-1/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..be0d5e00c --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-1/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-1/example.mod b/tests/pac/var-1/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..bb5d6e0ed --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-1/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,56 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var y x z; + +varexo ex ey ez; + +parameters a_y_1 a_y_2 b_y_1 b_y_2 b_x_1 b_x_2 ; // VAR parameters + +parameters beta e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2; // PAC equation parameters + +a_y_1 = .2; +a_y_2 = .3; +b_y_1 = .1; +b_y_2 = .4; +b_x_1 = -.1; +b_x_2 = -.2; + +beta = .9; +e_c_m = .1; +c_z_1 = .7; +c_z_2 = -.3; + +var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:y']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = a_y_1*y(-1) + a_y_2*diff(x(-1)) + b_y_1*y(-2) + b_y_2*diff(x(-2)) + ey ; + +[name='eq:x', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x) = b_x_1*y(-2) + b_x_2*diff(x(-1)) + ex ; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex = 1.0; + var ey = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-2/clean b/tests/pac/var-2/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..be0d5e00c --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-2/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-2/example.mod b/tests/pac/var-2/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..9f3e7068a --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-2/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,58 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var y x z ; + +varexo ex ey ez; + +parameters a_y_1 a_y_2 b_y_1 b_y_2 b_x_1 b_x_2 gamma; // VAR parameters + +parameters beta e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2; // PAC equation parameters + +a_y_1 = .2; +a_y_2 = .3; +b_y_1 = .1; +b_y_2 = .4; +b_x_1 = -.1; +b_x_2 = -.2; + +beta = .9; +e_c_m = .1; +c_z_1 = .7; +c_z_2 = -.3; + +gamma = .7; + +var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:y']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = a_y_1*y(-1) + a_y_2*diff(x(-1)) + b_y_1*y(-2) + b_y_2*diff(x(-2)) + ey ; + +[name='eq:x', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x) = b_x_1*y(-2) + b_x_2*diff(x(-1)) + ex ; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = gamma*(e_c_m*(x(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman)) + (1-gamma)*ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ey = 1.0; + var ex = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-3/clean b/tests/pac/var-3/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..be0d5e00c --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-3/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-3/example.mod b/tests/pac/var-3/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..21a18a4c5 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-3/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,58 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var y x z; + +varexo ex ey ez ; + +parameters a_y_1 a_y_2 b_y_1 b_y_2 b_x_1 b_x_2 g; // VAR parameters + +parameters beta e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2; // PAC equation parameters + +a_y_1 = .2; +a_y_2 = .3; +b_y_1 = .1; +b_y_2 = .4; +b_x_1 = -.1; +b_x_2 = -.2; + +beta = .9; +e_c_m = .1; +c_z_1 = .7; +c_z_2 = -.3; + +g = .02; + +var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:y']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = a_y_1*y(-1) + a_y_2*diff(x(-1)) + b_y_1*y(-2) + b_y_2*diff(x(-2)) + ey ; + +[name='eq:x', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x) = b_x_1*y(-2) + b_x_2*diff(x(-1)) + ex ; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ey = 1.0; + var ex = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-4/clean b/tests/pac/var-4/clean new file mode 100755 index 000000000..be0d5e00c --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-4/clean @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +#!/bin/sh + +rm -rf example +rm -rf +example +rm -f example*.mat +rm -f example.log \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/pac/var-4/example.mod b/tests/pac/var-4/example.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..f5a8f62f0 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/pac/var-4/example.mod @@ -0,0 +1,58 @@ +// --+ options: json=compute, stochastic +-- + +var y x z; + +varexo ex ey ez; + +parameters a_y_1 a_y_2 b_y_1 b_y_2 b_x_1 b_x_2 ; // VAR parameters + +parameters g beta e_c_m c_z_1 c_z_2; // PAC equation parameters + +a_y_1 = .2; +a_y_2 = .3; +b_y_1 = .1; +b_y_2 = .4; +b_x_1 = -.1; +b_x_2 = -.2; + +beta = .9; +e_c_m = .1; +c_z_1 = .7; +c_z_2 = -.3; + +g = .1; + +var_model(model_name=toto, eqtags=['eq:x', 'eq:y']); + +pac_model(auxiliary_model_name=toto, discount=beta, model_name=pacman, growth=g); + +model; + +[name='eq:y'] +y = a_y_1*y(-1) + a_y_2*diff(x(-1)) + b_y_1*y(-2) + b_y_2*diff(x(-2)) + ey ; + +[name='eq:x', data_type='nonstationary'] +diff(x) = b_x_1*y(-2) + b_x_2*diff(x(-1)) + g*(1-b_x_2) + ex ; + +[name='eq:pac'] +diff(z) = e_c_m*(x(-1)-z(-1)) + c_z_1*diff(z(-1)) + c_z_2*diff(z(-2)) + pac_expectation(pacman) + ez; + +end; + +shocks; + var ex = 1.0; + var ey = 1.0; + var ez = 1.0; +end; + +// Initialize the PAC model (build the Companion VAR representation for the auxiliary model). +pac.initialize('pacman'); + +// Update the parameters of the PAC expectation model (h0 and h1 vectors). +pac.update.expectation('pacman'); + +// Set initial conditions to zero. Please use more sensible values if any... +initialconditions = dseries(zeros(10, M_.endo_nbr+M_.exo_nbr), 2000Q1, vertcat(M_.endo_names,M_.exo_names)); + +// Simulate the model for 500 periods +TrueData = simul_backward_model(initialconditions, 500); \ No newline at end of file