parent
0b363b0c71
commit
590fe96946
|
@ -38,7 +38,15 @@ function simulations = simul_backward_linear_model(varargin)
|
|||
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
|
||||
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
|
||||
|
||||
[initialconditions, samplesize, innovations, DynareOptions, DynareModel, DynareOutput, endonames, exonames, nx, ny1, iy1, jdx, model_dynamic, y] = ...
|
||||
if M_.maximum_lead
|
||||
error('Model defined in %s.mod is not backward.', M_.fname)
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
if M_.maximum_lag
|
||||
error('Model defined in %s.mod is not backward.', M_.fname)
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
[initialconditions, samplesize, innovations, DynareOptions, DynareModel, DynareOutput, endonames, exonames, nx, ny1, iy1, jdx, model_dynamic] = ...
|
||||
simul_backward_model_init(varargin{:});
|
||||
|
||||
[ysim, xsim] = simul_backward_linear_model_(initialconditions, samplesize, DynareOptions, DynareModel, DynareOutput, innovations, nx, ny1, iy1, jdx, model_dynamic);
|
||||
|
|
|
@ -41,6 +41,12 @@ if M_.maximum_lead
|
|||
error('Model defined in %s.mod is not backward or static.', M_.fname)
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
if ~M_.maximum_lag
|
||||
dprintf('Model defined in %s.mod is static. Use simul_static_model instead.', M_.fname)
|
||||
simul_static_model(samplesize, innovations);
|
||||
return
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
if nargin<3
|
||||
Innovations = [];
|
||||
else
|
||||
|
|
|
@ -38,7 +38,15 @@ function simulations = simul_backward_nonlinear_model(varargin)
|
|||
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
|
||||
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
|
||||
|
||||
[initialconditions, samplesize, innovations, DynareOptions, DynareModel, DynareOutput, endonames, exonames, nx, ny1, iy1, jdx, model_dynamic, y] = ...
|
||||
if M_.maximum_lead
|
||||
error('Model defined in %s.mod is not backward.', M_.fname)
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
if M_.maximum_lag
|
||||
error('Model defined in %s.mod is not backward.', M_.fname)
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
[initialconditions, samplesize, innovations, DynareOptions, DynareModel, DynareOutput, endonames, exonames, ~, ~, iy1, ~, model_dynamic] = ...
|
||||
simul_backward_model_init(varargin{:});
|
||||
|
||||
[ysim, xsim] = simul_backward_nonlinear_model_(initialconditions, samplesize, DynareOptions, DynareModel, DynareOutput, innovations, iy1, model_dynamic);
|
||||
|
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,105 @@
|
|||
function simulation = simul_static_model(samplesize, innovations)
|
||||
|
||||
% Simulates a stochastic static model (with arbitrary precision).
|
||||
%
|
||||
% INPUTS
|
||||
% - samplesize [integer] scalar, number of periods for the simulation.
|
||||
% - innovations [dseries] innovations to be used for the simulation.
|
||||
%
|
||||
% OUTPUTS
|
||||
% - simulation [dseries] Simulated endogenous and exogenous variables.
|
||||
%
|
||||
% REMARKS
|
||||
% [1] The innovations used for the simulation are saved in DynareOutput.exo_simul, and the resulting paths for the endogenous
|
||||
% variables are saved in DynareOutput.endo_simul.
|
||||
% [2] The last input argument is not mandatory. If absent we use random draws and rescale them with the informations provided
|
||||
% through the shocks block.
|
||||
|
||||
% Copyright (C) 2019 Dynare Team
|
||||
%
|
||||
% This file is part of Dynare.
|
||||
%
|
||||
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
|
||||
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
|
||||
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
|
||||
% (at your option) any later version.
|
||||
%
|
||||
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
|
||||
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
|
||||
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
|
||||
% GNU General Public License for more details.
|
||||
%
|
||||
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
|
||||
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
|
||||
|
||||
global M_ options_ oo_
|
||||
|
||||
if M_.maximum_lag
|
||||
error('%s.mod has lagged variables, but it should be a static model.', M_.fname)
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
if M_.maximum_lead
|
||||
error('%s.mod has leaded variables, but it should be a static model.', M_.fname)
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
% Set innovations.
|
||||
if nargin<2 || isempty(innovations)
|
||||
% Set the covariance matrix of the structural innovations.
|
||||
variances = diag(M_.Sigma_e);
|
||||
number_of_shocks = length(M_.Sigma_e);
|
||||
positive_var_indx = find(variances>0);
|
||||
effective_number_of_shocks = length(positive_var_indx);
|
||||
covariance_matrix = M_.Sigma_e(positive_var_indx,positive_var_indx);
|
||||
covariance_matrix_upper_cholesky = chol(covariance_matrix);
|
||||
% Set seed to its default state.
|
||||
if options_.bnlms.set_dynare_seed_to_default
|
||||
set_dynare_seed('default');
|
||||
end
|
||||
% Simulate structural innovations.
|
||||
switch options_.bnlms.innovation_distribution
|
||||
case 'gaussian'
|
||||
oo_.bnlms.shocks = randn(samplesize, effective_number_of_shocks)*covariance_matrix_upper_cholesky;
|
||||
otherwise
|
||||
error('%s distribution for the structural innovations is not (yet) implemented!', options_.bnlms.innovation_distribution)
|
||||
end
|
||||
% Put the simulated innovations in DynareOutput.exo_simul.
|
||||
oo_.exo_simul = zeros(samplesize, number_of_shocks);
|
||||
oo_.exo_simul(:,positive_var_indx) = oo_.bnlms.shocks;
|
||||
innovations = [];
|
||||
else
|
||||
if innovations.nobs<samplesize
|
||||
error('Time span in third argument is too short (should not be less than %s, the value of the second argument)', num2str(samplesize))
|
||||
end
|
||||
% Set array holding innovations values.
|
||||
Innovations = zeros(samplesize, M_.exo_nbr);
|
||||
exonames = M_.exo_names;
|
||||
for i=1:M_.exo_nbr
|
||||
if ismember(exonames{i}, innovations.name)
|
||||
Innovations(:,i) = innovations{exonames{i}}.data(1:samplesize);
|
||||
else
|
||||
dprintf('Exogenous variable %s is not available in third argument, default value is zero.', exonames{i});
|
||||
end
|
||||
end
|
||||
oo_.exo_simul = Innovations;
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
staticmodel = sprintf('%s.static', M_.fname);
|
||||
|
||||
% Simulations (call a Newton-like algorithm for each period).
|
||||
for t=1:samplesize
|
||||
y = zeros(M_.endo_nbr, 1);
|
||||
[oo_.endo_simul(:,t), info] = dynare_solve(staticmodel, y, options_, oo_.exo_simul(t,:), M_.params);
|
||||
if info
|
||||
error('Newton failed!')
|
||||
end
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
ysim = oo_.endo_simul(1:M_.orig_endo_nbr,:);
|
||||
xsim = oo_.exo_simul;
|
||||
|
||||
initperiod = dates('1Y');
|
||||
if isdseries(innovations)
|
||||
initperiod = innovations.dates(1);
|
||||
end
|
||||
|
||||
simulation = [dseries(ysim', initperiod, M_.endo_names(1:M_.orig_endo_nbr)), dseries(xsim, initperiod, M_.exo_names)];
|
Loading…
Reference in New Issue