modifyimg *.m files for ramsey_policy when FOC are computed by the preprocessor

time-shift
Michel Juillard 2011-03-27 16:54:49 +02:00
parent 161647922c
commit 554849a704
6 changed files with 156 additions and 359 deletions

View File

@ -239,6 +239,10 @@ for i = 1:length(M_.aux_vars)
case 4
str = sprintf('EXPECTATION(%d)(...)', aux_lead_lag);
return
case 6
str = sprintf('%s(%d)', ...
deblank(M_.endo_names(M_.aux_vars(i).endo_index, :)),aux_lead_lag);
return
otherwise
error(sprintf('Invalid auxiliary type: %s', M_.endo_names(aux_index, :)))
end

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@ -121,9 +121,11 @@ if options_.ramsey_policy
oo_.steady_state = x;
[junk,junk,multbar] = dyn_ramsey_static_(oo_.steady_state(k_inst),M_,options_,oo_,it_);
else
[oo_.steady_state,info1] = dynare_solve('dyn_ramsey_static_', ...
oo_.steady_state,0,M_,options_,oo_,it_);
[junk,junk,multbar] = dyn_ramsey_static_(oo_.steady_state,M_,options_,oo_,it_);
xx = oo_.steady_state([1:M_.orig_endo_nbr (M_.orig_endo_nbr+M_.orig_eq_nbr+1):end]);
[xx,info1] = dynare_solve('dyn_ramsey_static_', ...
xx,0,M_,options_,oo_,it_);
[junk,junk,multbar] = dyn_ramsey_static_(xx,M_,options_,oo_,it_);
oo_.steady_state = [xx; multbar];
end
check1 = max(abs(feval([M_.fname '_static'],...
@ -135,51 +137,46 @@ if options_.ramsey_policy
info(2) = check1'*check1;
return
end
[jacobia_,M_,dr] = dyn_ramsey_dynamic_(oo_.steady_state,multbar,M_,options_,dr,it_);
klen = M_.maximum_lag + M_.maximum_lead + 1;
dr.ys = [oo_.steady_state;zeros(M_.exo_nbr,1);multbar];
oo_.steady_state = dr.ys;
else
klen = M_.maximum_lag + M_.maximum_lead + 1;
iyv = M_.lead_lag_incidence';
iyv = iyv(:);
iyr0 = find(iyv) ;
it_ = M_.maximum_lag + 1 ;
if M_.exo_nbr == 0
oo_.exo_steady_state = [] ;
end
it_ = M_.maximum_lag + 1;
z = repmat(dr.ys,1,klen);
if ~options_.bytecode
z = z(iyr0) ;
dr.ys = oo_.steady_state;
end
klen = M_.maximum_lag + M_.maximum_lead + 1;
iyv = M_.lead_lag_incidence';
iyv = iyv(:);
iyr0 = find(iyv) ;
it_ = M_.maximum_lag + 1 ;
if M_.exo_nbr == 0
oo_.exo_steady_state = [] ;
end
it_ = M_.maximum_lag + 1;
z = repmat(dr.ys,1,klen);
if ~options_.bytecode
z = z(iyr0) ;
end;
if options_.order == 1
if (options_.bytecode)
[chck, junk, loc_dr] = bytecode('dynamic','evaluate', z,[oo_.exo_simul ...
oo_.exo_det_simul], M_.params, dr.ys, 1);
jacobia_ = [loc_dr.g1 loc_dr.g1_x loc_dr.g1_xd];
else
[junk,jacobia_] = feval([M_.fname '_dynamic'],z,[oo_.exo_simul ...
oo_.exo_det_simul], M_.params, dr.ys, it_);
end;
if options_.order == 1
if (options_.bytecode)
[chck, junk, loc_dr] = bytecode('dynamic','evaluate', z,[oo_.exo_simul ...
oo_.exo_det_simul], M_.params, dr.ys, 1);
jacobia_ = [loc_dr.g1 loc_dr.g1_x loc_dr.g1_xd];
else
[junk,jacobia_] = feval([M_.fname '_dynamic'],z,[oo_.exo_simul ...
oo_.exo_det_simul], M_.params, dr.ys, it_);
end;
elseif options_.order == 2
if (options_.bytecode)
[chck, junk, loc_dr] = bytecode('dynamic','evaluate', z,[oo_.exo_simul ...
oo_.exo_det_simul], M_.params, dr.ys, 1);
jacobia_ = [loc_dr.g1 loc_dr.g1_x];
else
[junk,jacobia_,hessian1] = feval([M_.fname '_dynamic'],z,...
[oo_.exo_simul ...
oo_.exo_det_simul], M_.params, dr.ys, it_);
end;
if options_.use_dll
% In USE_DLL mode, the hessian is in the 3-column sparse representation
hessian1 = sparse(hessian1(:,1), hessian1(:,2), hessian1(:,3), ...
size(jacobia_, 1), size(jacobia_, 2)*size(jacobia_, 2));
end
elseif options_.order == 2
if (options_.bytecode)
[chck, junk, loc_dr] = bytecode('dynamic','evaluate', z,[oo_.exo_simul ...
oo_.exo_det_simul], M_.params, dr.ys, 1);
jacobia_ = [loc_dr.g1 loc_dr.g1_x];
else
[junk,jacobia_,hessian1] = feval([M_.fname '_dynamic'],z,...
[oo_.exo_simul ...
oo_.exo_det_simul], M_.params, dr.ys, it_);
end;
if options_.use_dll
% In USE_DLL mode, the hessian is in the 3-column sparse representation
hessian1 = sparse(hessian1(:,1), hessian1(:,2), hessian1(:,3), ...
size(jacobia_, 1), size(jacobia_, 2)*size(jacobia_, 2));
end
end

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@ -1,281 +0,0 @@
function [J,M_,dr] = dyn_ramsey_dynamic_(ys,lbar,M_,options_,dr,it_)
% function J = dyn_ramsey_dynamic_(ys,lbar)
% dyn_ramsey_dynamic_ sets up the Jacobian of the expanded model for optimal
% policies. It modifies several fields of M_
%
% INPUTS:
% ys: steady state of original endogenous variables
% lbar: steady state of Lagrange multipliers
%
% OUPTUTS:
% J: jaocobian of expanded model
%
% SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS
% none
% Copyright (C) 2003-2011 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
persistent old_lead_lag
% retrieving model parameters
endo_nbr = M_.endo_nbr;
i_endo_nbr = 1:endo_nbr;
endo_names = M_.endo_names;
% exo_nbr = M_.exo_nbr+M_.exo_det_nbr;
% exo_names = vertcat(M_.exo_names,M_.exo_det_names);
exo_nbr = M_.exo_nbr;
exo_names = M_.exo_names;
i_leadlag = M_.lead_lag_incidence;
max_lead = M_.maximum_lead;
max_endo_lead = M_.maximum_endo_lead;
max_lag = M_.maximum_lag;
max_endo_lag = M_.maximum_endo_lag;
leadlag_nbr = max_lead+max_lag+1;
fname = M_.fname;
% instr_names = options_.olr_inst;
% instr_nbr = size(options_.olr_inst,1);
% discount factor
beta = options_.planner_discount;
% storing original values
orig_model.endo_nbr = endo_nbr;
orig_model.orig_endo_nbr = M_.orig_endo_nbr;
orig_model.aux_vars = M_.aux_vars;
orig_model.endo_names = endo_names;
orig_model.lead_lag_incidence = i_leadlag;
orig_model.maximum_lead = max_lead;
orig_model.maximum_endo_lead = max_endo_lead;
orig_model.maximum_lag = max_lag;
orig_model.maximum_endo_lag = max_endo_lag;
y = repmat(ys,1,max_lag+max_lead+1);
k = find(i_leadlag');
% retrieving derivatives of the objective function
[U,Uy,Uyy] = feval([fname '_objective_static'],ys,zeros(1,exo_nbr), M_.params);
Uy = Uy';
Uyy = reshape(Uyy,endo_nbr,endo_nbr);
% retrieving derivatives of original model
[f,fJ,fH] = feval([fname '_dynamic'],y(k),zeros(2,exo_nbr), M_.params, ys, ...
it_);
instr_nbr = endo_nbr - size(f,1);
mult_nbr = endo_nbr-instr_nbr;
% parameters for expanded model
endo_nbr1 = 2*endo_nbr-instr_nbr+exo_nbr;
max_lead1 = max_lead + max_lag;
max_lag1 = max_lead1;
max_leadlag1 = max_lead1;
% adding new variables names
endo_names1 = endo_names;
% adding shocks to endogenous variables
endo_names1 = char(endo_names1, exo_names);
% adding multipliers names
for i=1:mult_nbr;
endo_names1 = char(endo_names1,['mult_' int2str(i)]);
end
% expanding matrix of lead/lag incidence
%
% multipliers lead/lag incidence
i_mult = [];
for i=1:leadlag_nbr
i_mult = [any(fJ(:,nonzeros(i_leadlag(i,:))) ~= 0,2)' ; i_mult];
end
% putting it all together:
% original variables, exogenous variables made endogenous, multipliers
%
% number of original dynamic variables
n_dyn = nnz(i_leadlag);
% numbering columns of dynamic multipliers to be put in the last columns
% of the new Jacobian
i_leadlag1 = [cumsum(i_leadlag(1:max_lag,:),1); ...
repmat(i_leadlag(max_lag+1,:),leadlag_nbr,1); ...
flipud(cumsum(flipud(i_leadlag(max_lag+2:end,:)),1))];
i_leadlag1 = i_leadlag1';
k = find(i_leadlag1 > 0);
n = length(k);
i_leadlag1(k) = 1:n;
i_leadlag1 = i_leadlag1';
i_mult = i_mult';
k = find(i_mult > 0);
i_mult(k) = n+leadlag_nbr*exo_nbr+(1:length(k));
i_mult = i_mult';
i_leadlag1 = [ i_leadlag1 ...
[zeros(max_lag,exo_nbr);...
reshape(n+(1:leadlag_nbr*exo_nbr),exo_nbr,leadlag_nbr)'; ...
zeros(max_lead,exo_nbr)] ...
[zeros(max_lag,mult_nbr);...
i_mult;...
zeros(max_lead,mult_nbr)]];
i_leadlag1 = i_leadlag1';
k = find(i_leadlag1 > 0);
n = length(k);
i_leadlag1(k) = 1:n;
i_leadlag1 = i_leadlag1';
% building Jacobian of expanded model
jacobian = zeros(endo_nbr+mult_nbr,nnz(i_leadlag1)+exo_nbr);
% derivatives of f.o.c. w.r. to endogenous variables
% to be rearranged further down
lbarfH = lbar'*fH;
% indices of Hessian columns
n1 = nnz(i_leadlag)+exo_nbr;
iH = reshape(1:n1^2,n1,n1);
J = zeros(endo_nbr1,nnz(i_leadlag1)+exo_nbr);
% second order derivatives of objective function
J(1:endo_nbr,i_leadlag1(max_leadlag1+1,1:endo_nbr)) = Uyy;
% loop on lead/lags in expanded model
for i=1:2*max_leadlag1 + 1
% index of variables at the current lag in expanded model
kc = find(i_leadlag1(i,i_endo_nbr) > 0);
t1 = max(1,i-max_leadlag1);
t2 = min(i,max_leadlag1+1);
% loop on lead/lag blocks of relevant 1st order derivatives
for j = t1:t2
% derivatives w.r. endogenous variables
ic = find(i_leadlag(i-j+1,:) > 0 );
kc1 = i_leadlag(i-j+1,ic);
[junk,ic1,ic2] = intersect(ic,kc);
kc2 = i_leadlag1(i,kc(ic2));
ir = find(i_leadlag(max_leadlag1+2-j,:) > 0 );
kr1 = i_leadlag(max_leadlag1+2-j,ir);
J(ir,kc2) = J(ir,kc2) + beta^(j-max_lead-1)...
*reshape(lbarfH(iH(kr1,kc1)),length(kr1),length(kc1));
end
end
% derivatives w.r. aux. variables for lead/lag exogenous shocks
for i=1:leadlag_nbr
kc = i_leadlag1(max_lag+i,endo_nbr+(1:exo_nbr));
ir = find(i_leadlag(leadlag_nbr+1-i,:) > 0);
kr1 = i_leadlag(leadlag_nbr+1-i,ir);
J(ir,kc) = beta^(i-max_lead-1)...
*reshape(lbarfH(iH(kr1,n_dyn+(1:exo_nbr))),length(kr1), ...
exo_nbr);
end
% derivatives w.r. Lagrange multipliers
for i=1:leadlag_nbr
ic1 = find(i_leadlag(leadlag_nbr+1-i,:) > 0);
kc1 = i_leadlag(leadlag_nbr+1-i,ic1);
ic2 = find(i_leadlag1(max_lag+i,endo_nbr+exo_nbr+(1:mult_nbr)) > 0);
kc2 = i_leadlag1(max_lag+i,endo_nbr+exo_nbr+ic2);
J(ic1,kc2) = beta^(i-max_lead-1)*fJ(ic2,kc1)';
end
% Jacobian of original equations
%
% w.r. endogenous variables
ir = endo_nbr+(1:endo_nbr-instr_nbr);
for i=1:leadlag_nbr
ic1 = find(i_leadlag(i,:) > 0);
kc1 = i_leadlag(i,ic1);
ic2 = find(i_leadlag1(max_lead+i,:) > 0);
kc2 = i_leadlag1(max_lead+i,ic2);
[junk,junk,ic3] = intersect(ic1,ic2);
J(ir,kc2(ic3)) = fJ(:,kc1);
end
% w.r. exogenous variables
J(ir,nnz(i_leadlag1)+(1:exo_nbr)) = fJ(:,nnz(i_leadlag)+(1:exo_nbr));
% auxiliary variable for exogenous shocks
ir = 2*endo_nbr-instr_nbr+(1:exo_nbr);
kc = i_leadlag1(leadlag_nbr,endo_nbr+(1:exo_nbr));
J(ir,kc) = eye(exo_nbr);
J(ir,nnz(i_leadlag1)+(1:exo_nbr)) = -eye(exo_nbr);
% eliminating empty columns
% getting indices of nonzero entries
m = find(i_leadlag1');
n1 = max_lag1*endo_nbr1+1;
n2 = n1+endo_nbr-1;
n = length(m);
k = 1:size(J,2);
for i=1:n
if sum(abs(J(:,i))) < 1e-8
if m(i) < n1 || m(i) > n2
k(i) = 0;
m(i) = 0;
end
end
end
J = J(:,nonzeros(k));
i_leadlag1 = zeros(size(i_leadlag1))';
i_leadlag1(nonzeros(m)) = 1:nnz(m);
i_leadlag1 = i_leadlag1';
%eliminating lags in t-2 and leads in t+2, if possible
if all(i_leadlag1(5,:)==0)
i_leadlag1 = i_leadlag1(1:4,:);
max_lead1 = 1;
end
if all(i_leadlag1(1,:)==0)
i_leadlag1 = i_leadlag1(2:4,:);
max_lag1 = 1;
end
% setting expanded model parameters
% storing original values
M_.endo_nbr = endo_nbr1;
% Consider that there is no auxiliary variable, because otherwise it
% interacts badly with the auxiliary variables from the preprocessor.
M_.orig_endo_nbr = endo_nbr1;
M_.aux_vars = [];
M_.endo_names = endo_names1;
M_.lead_lag_incidence = i_leadlag1;
M_.maximum_lead = max_lead1;
M_.maximum_endo_lead = max_lead1;
M_.maximum_lag = max_lag1;
M_.maximum_endo_lag = max_lag1;
M_.orig_model = orig_model;
if isfield(options_,'varobs') && (any(size(i_leadlag1,2) ~= size(old_lead_lag,2)) || any(any(i_leadlag1 ~= old_lead_lag)))
global bayestopt_
dr = set_state_space(dr,M_);
nstatic = dr.nstatic; % Number of static variables.
npred = dr.npred; % Number of predetermined variables.
var_obs_index = [];
k1 = [];
for i=1:size(options_.varobs,1);
var_obs_index = [var_obs_index strmatch(deblank(options_.varobs(i,:)),M_.endo_names(dr.order_var,:),'exact')];
k1 = [k1 strmatch(deblank(options_.varobs(i,:)),M_.endo_names, 'exact')];
end
% Define union of observed and state variables
k2 = union(var_obs_index',[nstatic+1:nstatic+npred]');
% Set restrict_state to postion of observed + state variables in expanded state vector.
dr.restrict_var_list = k2;
[junk,ic] = intersect(k2,nstatic+(1:npred)');
dr.restrict_columns = ic;
% set mf0 to positions of state variables in restricted state vector for likelihood computation.
[junk,bayestopt_.mf0] = ismember([dr.nstatic+1:dr.nstatic+dr.npred]',k2);
% Set mf1 to positions of observed variables in restricted state vector for likelihood computation.
[junk,bayestopt_.mf1] = ismember(var_obs_index,k2);
% Set mf2 to positions of observed variables in expanded state vector for filtering and smoothing.
bayestopt_.mf2 = var_obs_index;
bayestopt_.mfys = k1;
old_lead_lag = i_leadlag1;
end

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@ -35,9 +35,13 @@ global oo_ M_
% recovering usefull fields
endo_nbr = M.endo_nbr;
exo_nbr = M.exo_nbr;
orig_endo_nbr = M_.orig_endo_nbr;
orig_eq_nbr = M_.orig_eq_nbr;
inst_nbr = orig_endo_nbr - orig_eq_nbr;
% indices of Lagrange multipliers
i_mult = [orig_endo_nbr+(1:orig_eq_nbr)]';
x = [x(1:orig_endo_nbr); zeros(orig_eq_nbr,1); x(orig_endo_nbr+1:end)];
fname = M.fname;
% inst_nbr = M.inst_nbr;
% i_endo_no_inst = M.endogenous_variables_without_instruments;
max_lead = M.maximum_lead;
max_lag = M.maximum_lag;
beta = options_.planner_discount;
@ -75,47 +79,28 @@ if options_.steadystate_flag
end
end
oo_.steady_state = x;
% value and Jacobian of objective function
ex = zeros(1,M.exo_nbr);
[U,Uy,Uyy] = feval([fname '_objective_static'],x(i_endo),ex, M_.params);
Uy = Uy';
Uyy = reshape(Uyy,endo_nbr,endo_nbr);
y = repmat(x(i_endo),1,max_lag+max_lead+1);
% value and Jacobian of dynamic function
k = find(i_lag');
% set multipliers to 0 to compute residuals
it_ = 1;
% [f,fJ,fH] = feval([fname '_dynamic'],y(k),ex);
[f,fJ] = feval([fname '_dynamic'],y(k),[oo.exo_simul oo.exo_det_simul], ...
M_.params, x, it_);
% indices of Lagrange multipliers
inst_nbr = endo_nbr - size(f,1);
i_mult = [endo_nbr+1:2*endo_nbr-inst_nbr]';
[f,fJ] = feval([fname '_static'],x,[oo.exo_simul oo.exo_det_simul], ...
M_.params);
% derivatives of Lagrangian with respect to endogenous variables
% res1 = Uy;
A = zeros(endo_nbr,endo_nbr-inst_nbr);
for i=1:max_lag+max_lead+1
% select variables present in the model at a given lag
[junk,k1,k2] = find(i_lag(i,:));
% res1(k1) = res1(k1) + beta^(max_lag-i+1)*fJ(:,k2)'*x(i_mult);
A(k1,:) = A(k1,:) + beta^(max_lag-i+1)*fJ(:,k2)';
end
A = fJ(1:orig_endo_nbr,i_mult);
y = f(1:orig_endo_nbr);
mult = -A\y;
% i_inst = var_index(options_.olr_inst);
% k = setdiff(1:size(A,1),i_inst);
% mult = -A(k,:)\Uy(k);
mult = -A\Uy;
% resids = [f; Uy(i_inst)+A(i_inst,:)*mult];
resids1 = Uy+A*mult;
% resids = [f; sqrt(resids1'*resids1/endo_nbr)];
[q,r,e] = qr([A Uy]');
resids1 = y+A*mult;
[q,r,e] = qr([A y]');
if options_.steadystate_flag
resids = [r(end,(endo_nbr-inst_nbr+1:end))'];
resids = [r(end,(orig_endo_nbr-inst_nbr+1:end))'];
resids = resids1'*resids1;
else
resids = [f; r(end,(endo_nbr-inst_nbr+1:end))'];
resids = [f(i_mult); r(end,(orig_endo_nbr-inst_nbr+1:end))'];
end
rJ = [];
return;

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@ -0,0 +1,90 @@
//MODEL:
//test on Dynare to find the lagrangean multipliers.
//We consider a standard NK model. We use the FOCS of the competitive economy and we aim at calculating the Ramsey optimal problem.
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
//1. Variable declaration
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
var pai, c, n, r, a;
//4 variables + 1 shock
varexo u;
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// 2. Parameter declaration and calibration
//-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
parameters beta, rho, epsilon, omega, phi, gamma;
beta=0.99;
gamma=3; //Frish elasticity
omega=17; //price stickyness
epsilon=8; //elasticity for each variety of consumption
phi=1; //coefficient associated to labor effort disutility
rho=0.95; //coefficient associated to productivity shock
//-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// 3. The model
//-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
model;
a=rho*(a(-1))+u;
1/c=beta*(1/(c(+1)))*(r/(pai(+1))); //euler
omega*pai*(pai-1)=beta*omega*(c/(c(+1)))*(pai(+1))*(pai(+1)-1)+epsilon*exp(a)*n*(c/exp(a)*phi*n^gamma-(epsilon-1)/epsilon); //NK pc
//pai*(pai-1)/c = beta*pai(+1)*(pai(+1)-1)/c(+1)+epsilon*phi*n^(gamma+1)/omega-exp(a)*n*(epsilon-1)/(omega*c); //NK pc
(exp(a))*n=c+(omega/2)*((pai-1)^2);
end;
//--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// 4. Steady state
//---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
initval;
pai=1;
r=1/beta;
c=0.9671684882;
n=0.9671684882;
a=0;
end;
//---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// 5. shocks
//---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
shocks;
var u; stderr 0.008;
end;
//--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
// 6. Ramsey problem
//--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
planner_objective(ln(c)-phi*((n^(1+gamma))/(1+gamma)));
write_latex_static_model;
ramsey_policy(planner_discount=0.99);

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@ -26,4 +26,6 @@ end;
planner_objective inflation^2 + lambda1*y^2 + lambda2*r^2;
write_latex_dynamic_model;
ramsey_policy(planner_discount=0.95, order = 1);