Variance decomposition with pruning: add unit test

kalman-mex
Johannes Pfeifer 2023-09-07 22:53:26 +02:00
parent c063d53646
commit 4e58e22bdd
3 changed files with 145 additions and 0 deletions

View File

@ -234,6 +234,7 @@ MODFILES = \
AIM/ls2003_2L2L.mod \
AIM/ls2003_2L2L_AIM.mod \
conditional_variance_decomposition/example1.mod \
conditional_variance_decomposition/example3.mod \
dsge-var/simul_hybrid.mod \
dsge-var/dsgevar_forward_calibrated_lambda.mod \
dsge-var/dsgevar_forward_estimated_lambda.mod \
@ -1359,6 +1360,7 @@ EXTRA_DIST = \
measurement_errors/fs2000_corr_me_ml_mcmc/fsdat_simul.m \
missing/simulate_data_with_missing_observations.m \
conditional_forecasts/2/fsdat_simul.m \
conditional_variance_decomposition/example3_steady_state_helper.m \
ms-sbvar/msdata.m \
ms-sbvar/archive-files/ftd_2s_caseall_upperchol3v.m \
ms-sbvar/archive-files/ftd_2s_caseall_upperchol4v.m \

View File

@ -0,0 +1,138 @@
/*
* Example 1 from F. Collard (2001): "Stochastic simulations with DYNARE:
* A practical guide" (see "guide.pdf" in the documentation directory).
*
* This file uses the steady_state_model-block to provide analytical steady state values.
* To do so, the equations of the model have been transformed into a non-linear equation in
* labor h. Within the steady_state_model-block, a helper function is called that uses fsolve
* to solve this non-linear equation. The use of the helper function is necessary to avoid
* interference of the MATLAB syntax with Dynare's preprocessor. A more complicated alternative
* that provides more flexibility in the type of commands executed and functions called is the use
* of an explicit steady state file. See the NK_baseline.mod in the Examples Folder.
*
* This mod-file also shows how to use Dynare's capacities to generate TeX-files of the model equations.
* If you want to see the model equations belonging to this mod-file, run it using Dynare
* and then use a TeX-editor to compile the TeX-files generated.
*/
/*
* Copyright © 2013 Dynare Team
*
* This file is part of Dynare.
*
* Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
* it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
* the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
* (at your option) any later version.
*
* Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
* but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
* MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
* GNU General Public License for more details.
*
* You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
* along with Dynare. If not, see <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
*/
@#define unit_root_var=0
var y, c, k, a, h, b
@#if unit_root_var==1
, unit_root
@#endif
;
varexo e, u;
parameters beta $\beta$
rho $\rho$
alpha $\alpha$
delta $\delta$
theta $\theta$
psi $\psi$
tau $\tau$;
alpha = 0.36;
rho = 0.95;
tau = 0.025;
beta = 0.99;
delta = 0.025;
psi = 0;
theta = 2.95;
phi = 0.1;
model;
c*theta*h^(1+psi)=(1-alpha)*y;
k = beta*(((exp(b)*c)/(exp(b(+1))*c(+1)))
*(exp(b(+1))*alpha*y(+1)+(1-delta)*k));
y = exp(a)*(k(-1)^alpha)*(h^(1-alpha));
k = exp(b)*(y-c)+(1-delta)*k(-1);
a = rho*a(-1)+tau*b(-1) + e;
b = tau*a(-1)+rho*b(-1) + u;
@#if unit_root_var==1
unit_root=unit_root(-1)+e;
@#endif
end;
steady_state_model;
h=example3_steady_state_helper(alpha,beta,delta,psi,theta);
k=((1/beta-(1-delta))/alpha)^(1/(alpha-1))*h;
y = k^alpha*h^(1-alpha);
c=(1-alpha)*y/(theta*h^(1+psi));
a=0;
b=0;
end;
shocks;
var e; stderr 0.009;
var u; stderr 0.009;
var e, u = phi*0.009*0.009;
end;
stoch_simul(irf=0,conditional_variance_decomposition=[1,4,40],pruning,order=1);
oo1_=oo_;
stoch_simul(irf=0,conditional_variance_decomposition=[1,4,40],pruning,order=1) y k;
oo2_=oo_;
stoch_simul(irf=0,conditional_variance_decomposition=[1,4,40],pruning,order=2) y k ;
oo3_=oo_;
stoch_simul(irf=0,conditional_variance_decomposition=[1,4,40],pruning,order=2);
oo4_=oo_;
if max(max(abs(oo1_.variance_decomposition-oo4_.variance_decomposition)))>1e-8 || max(max(abs(oo2_.variance_decomposition-oo3_.variance_decomposition)))>1e-8
error('Unconditional variance decomposition does not match.')
end
if max(max(max(abs(oo1_.conditional_variance_decomposition-oo4_.conditional_variance_decomposition))))>1e-8 || max(max(max(abs(oo2_.conditional_variance_decomposition-oo3_.conditional_variance_decomposition)))) >1e-8
error('Conditional variance decomposition does not match.')
end
varobs y;
shocks;
var y; stderr 0.01;
end;
stoch_simul(irf=0,conditional_variance_decomposition=[1,4,40],pruning,order=1);
oo1_=oo_;
stoch_simul(irf=0,conditional_variance_decomposition=[1,4,40],pruning,order=1) y k;
oo2_=oo_;
stoch_simul(irf=0,conditional_variance_decomposition=[1,4,40],pruning,order=2) y k ;
oo3_=oo_;
stoch_simul(irf=0,conditional_variance_decomposition=[1,4,40],pruning,order=2);
oo4_=oo_;
if max(max(abs(oo1_.variance_decomposition-oo4_.variance_decomposition)))>1e-8 || max(max(abs(oo2_.variance_decomposition-oo3_.variance_decomposition)))>1e-8
error('Unconditional variance decomposition does not match.')
end
if max(max(max(abs(oo1_.conditional_variance_decomposition-oo4_.conditional_variance_decomposition))))>1e-8 || max(max(max(abs(oo2_.conditional_variance_decomposition-oo3_.conditional_variance_decomposition)))) >1e-8
error('Conditional variance decomposition does not match.')
end
if max(max(abs(oo1_.variance_decomposition_ME-oo4_.variance_decomposition_ME)))>1e-2 || max(max(abs(oo2_.variance_decomposition_ME-oo3_.variance_decomposition_ME)))>1e-2
error('Unconditional variance decomposition with ME does not match.')
end
if max(max(max(abs(oo1_.conditional_variance_decomposition_ME-oo4_.conditional_variance_decomposition_ME))))>1e-8 || max(max(max(abs(oo2_.conditional_variance_decomposition_ME-oo3_.conditional_variance_decomposition_ME))))>1e-8
error('Conditional variance decomposition with ME does not match.')
end

View File

@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
function h=example3_steady_state_helper(alpha,beta,delta,psi,theta)
options=optimset('Display','Final','TolX',1e-10,'TolFun',1e-10);
h=fsolve(@(h)1- ((((((1/beta-(1-delta))/alpha)^(1/(alpha-1))*h)^(alpha-1))*(h^(1-alpha))-(((1-alpha)*((((1/beta-(1-delta))/alpha)^(1/(alpha-1)))^alpha))/(theta*h^psi))/(((1/beta-(1-delta))/alpha)^(1/(alpha-1))*h))+(1-delta)),0.2,options);