Replace the likelihood of the mean by the mean of the likelihoods.
parent
ef22c716d3
commit
35c3a9fcd9
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@ -169,7 +169,9 @@ for t=1:sample_size
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return
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end
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end
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lik(t) = log( probability2(0,PredictedObservedVarianceSquareRoot,PredictionError) ) ;
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% lik(t) = log( probability2(0,PredictedObservedVarianceSquareRoot,PredictionError) ) ;
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lik(t) = log( sum(probability2(Y(:,t),H_lower_triangular_cholesky,tmp(mf1,:)).*weights,1) ) ;
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% lik(t) = log(sum(probability2(Y(:,t),PredictedObservedVarianceSquareRoot,tmp(mf1,:)).*weights,1) ) ;
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end
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LIK = -sum(lik(start:end));
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