diff --git a/matlab/dynare_estimation.m b/matlab/dynare_estimation.m index 2f37857fb..70c4a688d 100644 --- a/matlab/dynare_estimation.m +++ b/matlab/dynare_estimation.m @@ -86,7 +86,8 @@ if nnobs > 1 && horizon > 0 mh_replic = options_.mh_replic; rawdata = read_variables(options_.datafile,options_.varobs,[],options_.xls_sheet,options_.xls_range); gend = options_.nobs; - rawdata = rawdata(options_.first_obs:options_.first_obs+gend-1,:); + data_plot_end_point=min(options_.first_obs+gend-1+horizon,size(rawdata,1)); %compute last observation that can be plotted + rawdata = rawdata(options_.first_obs:data_plot_end_point,:); % Take the log of the variables if needed if options_.loglinear && ~options_.logdata % and if the data are not in logs, then... rawdata = log(rawdata); @@ -115,34 +116,32 @@ if nnobs > 1 && horizon > 0 IdObs = zeros(n_varobs,1); for j=1:n_varobs - for i=1:nvar - iobs = strmatch(options_.varobs(j,:),var_list,'exact'); - end + iobs = strmatch(options_.varobs(j,:),var_list,'exact'); if ~isempty(iobs) IdObs(j,1) = iobs; end end - k = 3+min(nobs(end)-nobs(1)+horizon, ... + time_offset=min(3,gend-1); %for observables, plot 3 previous periods unless data is shorter + k = time_offset+min(nobs(end)-nobs(1)+horizon, ... size(rawdata,1)-nobs(1)); data2 = rawdata(end-k+1:end,:); [nbplt,nr,nc,lr,lc,nstar] = pltorg(nvar); m = 1; + plot_index=0; + OutputDirectoryName = CheckPath('graphs',M_.fname); for i = 1:size(var_list,1) if mod(i,nstar) == 1 - hfig = dyn_figure(options_,'Name','Out of sample forecasts'); + plot_index=plot_index+1; + hfig = dyn_figure(options_,'Name',['Out of sample forecasts (',num2str(plot_index),')']); m = 1; end subplot(nr,nc,m) hold on if any(i==IdObs) k2 = find(i==IdObs); - if options_.loglinear == 1 - plot(1:k,exp(data2(end-k+1:end,k2))','-k','linewidth',2); - else - plot(1:k,data2(end-k+1:end,k2)','-k','linewidth',2); - end offsetx = 3; + plot(nobs(1)-offsetx+1:nobs(1)-offsetx+k,data2(end-k+1:end,k2)','-k','linewidth',2); else offsetx = 0; end @@ -176,7 +175,8 @@ if nnobs > 1 && horizon > 0 'oo_recursive_{' int2str(nobs(j)) '}.forecast.HPDsup.' ... vname ';']); end - x = offsetx+nobs(j)-nobs(1)+(1:horizon); + x = nobs(1)+nobs(j)-nobs(1)+(1:horizon); + y = eval(['oo_.RecursiveForecast.Mean.' vname '(j,:)']); y1 = eval(['oo_.RecursiveForecast.HPDinf.' vname '(j,:)']); y2 = eval(['oo_.RecursiveForecast.HPDsup.' vname '(j,:)']); @@ -194,15 +194,13 @@ if nnobs > 1 && horizon > 0 plot(x,y4,'--r','linewidth',1.5) end end - % set(gca,'XTick',offsetx+[1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90]); - % set(gca,'XTickLabel',{'1';'10';'20';'30';'40';'50';'60';'70';'80';'90'}); - % xlim([1 options_.forecast+10]); - if any(k==IdObs) - plot([offsetx+1 offsetx+1],ylim,'-c') - end box on title(vname,'Interpreter','none') hold off + xlim([nobs(1)-offsetx nobs(end)+horizon]) m = m + 1; + if mod(i+1,nstar) == 1 || i ==size(var_list,1) + dyn_saveas(hfig,[M_.fname,filesep,'graphs',filesep M_.fname '_RecursiveForecasts_' int2str(plot_index)],options_); + end end end