last modfile

time-shift
Frédéric Karamé 2015-05-27 12:00:03 +02:00 committed by Stéphane Adjemian (Hermes)
parent b7d40cc714
commit 2a5728dd85
1 changed files with 101 additions and 36 deletions

View File

@ -2,7 +2,7 @@
//employment for comparison with the benchmark in Gauss which solves with
//the same particular filter but global methodology.
//
// December 2014
// Juin 2015
var k A c l i y;
varexo e_a;
@ -32,7 +32,7 @@ steady;
estimated_params;
alp, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.99;
bet, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.9999;
bet, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.99999;
tet, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, .999;
tau, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 100;
delt, uniform_pdf,,, 0.0001, 0.05;
@ -43,19 +43,47 @@ stderr l, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1;
stderr i, uniform_pdf,,, 0.00001, 0.1;
end;
//estimated_params_init;
//alp, 0.4;
//bet, 0.99;
//tet, 0.357;
//tau, 50;
//delt, 0.02;
//rho, 0.95;
//stderr e_a, .035;
//stderr y, .00158;
//stderr l, .0011;
//stderr i, .000866;
//end;
// Risky
estimated_params_init;
alp, 0.4;
bet, 0.99;
tet, 0.357;
tau, 50;
delt, 0.02;
rho, 0.95;
stderr e_a, .035;
stderr y, .00158;
stderr l, .0011;
stderr i, .000866;
end;
estimated_params_init;
alp, 0.405156;
bet, 0.9999;
tet, 0.360716;
tau, 30.687089;
delt, 0.017113;
rho, 0.968120;
stderr e_a, .043001;
stderr y, .006791;
stderr l, .001065;
stderr i, .004716;
end;
estimated_params_init;
stderr e_a, 0.043021303067030 ;
stderr y, 0.006670476313281;
stderr l, 0.001074088088005;
stderr i, 0.004799910878108;
alp, 0.405140190096526;
bet, 0.9953935267771;
tet, 0.360731313440020;
tau, 30.687088931783695 ;
delt, 0.017070312172381 ;
rho, 0.968261076182835 ;
end;
// Extreme
estimated_params_init;
alp, 0.4;
bet, 0.99;
@ -69,40 +97,77 @@ stderr l, .00312;
stderr i, .00465;
end;
// Extreme: intermediate solution for SIR
//estimated_params_init;
//stderr e_a, 0.025533519509666;
//stderr y, 0.018507739054788;
//stderr l, 0.003197047316401;
//stderr i, 0.003802850762698;
//alp, 0.363888235523713;
//bet, 0.994999761247253;
//tet, 0.342346704799396;
//tau, 53.199696552640710;
//delt, 0.012206251968057;
//rho, 0.976115559512299 ;
//end ;
varobs y l i ;
options_.mode_check.neighbourhood_size = .05 ;
options_.mode_check.neighbourhood_size = .01 ;
options_.mode_check.number_of_points = 250;
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,number_of_particles=10000,resampling=generic,mode_compute=7,mh_replic=0,mode_check);
//KALMAN
//estimation(datafile=extreme,nograph,order=1,nobs=150,mode_compute=8,mh_replic=0,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,number_of_particles=10000,nobs=150,mode_compute=7,mode_check);
//SIR
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,number_of_particles=50000,nobs=150,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=7);
//OK
// SISmoothR
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=4,mh_replic=0);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=8,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,resampling_method=smooth,mode_compute=4,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=1,nobs=150,mode_compute=7);
// OK
// APF
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=apf,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,filter_algorithm=gf,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=7,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=50000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=7,mode_check);
// OK
// GPF
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=risky,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8);
//estimation(datafile=risky,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=7,mode_check);
//OK
// GCF
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_check);
estimation(datafile=risky,order=2,noconstant,filter_algorithm=apf,number_of_particles=10000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=7);
// GUF
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,proposal_approximation=unscented,distribution_approximation=unscented,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nograph,filter_algorithm=gf,proposal_approximation=unscented,distribution_approximation=unscented,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8,mode_check);
//options_.mh_posterior_mode_estimation = 1 ;
//options_.mh_jscale =1.2e-3 ;
//options_.mh_nblck = 10 ;
// GMPF
//estimation(datafile=extreme,nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=8);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_compute=8);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,distribution_approximation=montecarlo,number_of_particles=1000,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_compute=4,mode_check);
// GMCF
//estimation(datafile=extreme,nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_compute=8);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=4,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_check);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,nograph,order=2,filter_algorithm=gmf,nobs=150,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_check);
// P-MH with SIR
%options_.mh_posterior_mode_estimation = 1 ;
%options_.mh_jscale = 1.2e-3 ;
options_.mh_nblck = 10 ;
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nobs=150,number_of_particles=50000,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=7);
//estimation(datafile=risky,order=2,nobs=150,number_of_particles=50000,mh_replic=0,mode_compute=7);
//options_.posterior_sampling_method = 'RWGMH';
options_.posterior_sampling_method = 'RWGMH';
options_.rwgmh_scale_shock = (1e-5)*[10 10 1 1 10 10 10 1000 10 10] ;
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nobs=150,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=10000,mode_compute=8);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nobs=150,number_of_particles=1000,mh_replic=10000,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mode_compute=0);
estimation(datafile=extreme,order=1,mh_replic=5000,mode_compute=0,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nobs=150,number_of_particles=50000,mode_file=dsge_base2_mode,mh_replic=60000,mode_compute=7);
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,nobs=150,number_of_particles=10000,load_mh_file,mh_replic=1,mode_compute=0);
//OK
//options_.particle.liu_west_delta = 0.99 ;
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,number_of_particles=20000,nobs=150,mode_compute=11);
//OK
// Online
//options_.particle.liu_west_delta = 0.9 ;
//estimation(datafile=extreme,order=2,number_of_particles=10000,nobs=150,mode_compute=11);